Moomin Valley

Personal Finance, Investing, and Economics

Friday, March 30, 2007

Trends in Losses and Wins

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Crazy day... Can't tell you all the craziness or I'd blow my cover as it's out there in the news media :) On top of that, Snork ...
5 comments:
Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Emergency Funds

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I have a whole list of planned posts on investment performance and asset allocation - but they can wait. This is a great post . Yes, it'...
14 comments:
Sunday, March 25, 2007

Asset Allocation: The Big Picture

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In response to Finance Girl 's request I'm going to do a series of posts on my asset allocation. Today's post will look at how I...
1 comment:

Benchmarking Your Performance

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I've been teaching Yoyo and you, the reader, how to compute your investment performance. In today's class we'll compare our resu...
3 comments:
Saturday, March 24, 2007

Computing Your Annual Rate of Return

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Once you have your total return index computed it's real easy to compute your annual rate of return for any period you choose. Here is m...
Friday, March 23, 2007

Computing the Total Return Index

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Yoyo the green rabbit can help cheer me up this morning :) I get upset when I make stupid trading mistakes, primarily because I see my goal ...
2 comments:
Thursday, March 22, 2007

Stupidest Trades Ever

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I did what must be some of my stupidest trades ever today. I did nothing until the FOMC announcement. Then when the market began to rise whe...
7 comments:

Contributions of Investment Returns and Savings

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Following up from trainee investor 's question on my previous post I made a jpeg of the Excel Chart that I maintain on the relative con...
Wednesday, March 21, 2007

$400,000

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Yes my net worth is now above $400,000. But there are no guarantees that I'll still be here at the end of the month for the reasons I di...
5 comments:

Measuring Leveraged Investment Performance

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Following up on Enough Wealth's comments on my previous post, I'm going to do an example here where Yoyo has borrowed money to inves...
2 comments:
Tuesday, March 20, 2007

Getting Started in Measuring Investment Performance

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I've been posting a lot of different analyses of investment performance recently. They all rely on the same underlying data which are in...
5 comments:

Aussie Dollar Trading Above 80 US Cents

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It hasn't been above 80 cents in a long while. My Aussie Dollar model gave a sell signal yesterday. It's good I'm not trading fo...

Closed Positions Too Soon

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Looked this morning to me that the major indices were going to try to close the opening gap. So I closed all my long trading positions. I go...
Monday, March 19, 2007

Time-Varying Alpha and Beta

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When estimating alpha and beta , a big question is how much data to use? 36 months? 60 months? Different periods will result in different es...
2 comments:
Sunday, March 18, 2007

Expected Returns

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Following on from my previous post, one of the uses that this alpha/beta analysis can be put to is estimating your future expected rate of r...
Saturday, March 17, 2007

What Does Alpha Look Like?

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We hear a lot about "alpha" - the risk-adjusted average rate of return for an investment portfolio such as a mutual or hedge fund....
2 comments:
Thursday, March 15, 2007

Don't Worry About Missing Out on Big Gains

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Worrying about missing out on big gains often leads to foolish actions. Whether it is first time home buyers worrying about being "pric...
4 comments:

Increasing My Position

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I shorted 800 QQQQ @ 42.62 and 2 NQ contracts @ 1752.75. Now I am short the equivalent of 3200 QQQQ shares and have a negative portfolio bet...
2 comments:
Wednesday, March 14, 2007

Right Idea, Insufficient Followthrough

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I closed out the short NQ futures contract just before 12 today as I was going to go teach my class and the market didn't seem to be goi...
Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Getting Back into Trading

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Last week I took a complete break from trading while we were in Florida and after we returned. Today I initiated a small position. This morn...
Monday, March 12, 2007

Has a Bear Market Started?

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The chart maps out a possible Elliott Wave interpretation of the move up since last summer. It's pretty clear if you look at the waves a...
2 comments:
Sunday, March 11, 2007

Investment Decisions for my Mom and More Performance Statistics

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I've been reviewing the information a new manager we hired for my Mom sent me about potential investments. He has a small firm that inve...
Saturday, March 10, 2007

Timing and Measuring Investment Performance

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The chart shows how many percent you would be ahead of the MSCI World Index (Gross = total return index) today by investing with me in each ...
7 comments:
Friday, March 09, 2007

February Report

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All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise stated. Income and Expenditure Expenditure was $1771 - 54% of take home pay ($3,299). This is...
1 comment:

Half a Million

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Australian Dollars. I just updated my net worth for the current date in March and I am above half a million Aussie Dollars. I might not be a...
Friday, March 02, 2007

Preliminary Report

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Initial figures show an almost $11k gain in net worth to $388k and well ahead of the target of $382k for this month and an investment perfor...
3 comments:
Thursday, March 01, 2007

The Day After

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At this point it looks like the market is shaping up for a sideways day after the rebound in Shanghai overnight and smaller losses in Europe...
4 comments:
Wednesday, February 28, 2007

Recouping My Losses

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Today has helped me more than recoup my losses from the last big blow up . I closed out an overnight trade in NQ like 20 points ago so my IB...
4 comments:
Monday, February 26, 2007

Suze Orman is Extremely Risk Averse

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Suze Orman was interviewed today in the New York Times Magazine. I've read before about her extreme risk aversion. In the article she co...
9 comments:
Saturday, February 24, 2007

Snork Maiden's Taxes

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Looks like I will be doing Snork Maiden's taxes. The software she used last year won't let her file as a non-resident alien this yea...
14 comments:
Friday, February 23, 2007

New Trading Rule

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The big problem with my trading model has been that when the stochastic in the chart below is over 80 as it is today or under 20, I can'...
4 comments:
Tuesday, February 20, 2007

Credit for Federal Telephone Excise Tax Paid

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Now I know why I kept all my old telephone bills :) The standard credit for a single filer for the Federal Telephone Excise Tax Refund is $...
1 comment:
Monday, February 19, 2007

Wealth Cycle Investing

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Since Millionaire Artist wrote that Loral Langemeier's "Wealth Cycle Investing" was a very foreign in approach to her, I wa...
8 comments:
Sunday, February 18, 2007

Should You Rely on Trading Test Statistics?

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Henry Karstens recently posted a primer on testing strategies. A key indicator is what he calls "optimal f" which is related to t...
Thursday, February 15, 2007

Uh-oh Another Blow-Up

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Things were going very well this year until today. My trading was awful today and I've probably lost the profits I made this month so fa...
6 comments:
Sunday, February 11, 2007

Trading Performance Update

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My results since I made this post about money management strategy have largely confirmed what I wrote there. My system mainly produces winn...
4 comments:
Saturday, February 10, 2007

Penny Options Trading Gets Underway

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Today was the first day on which U.S. exchange traded options (ETOs) in QQQQ the NASDAQ 100 ETF can be traded in penny increments. Up till n...
Thursday, February 08, 2007

My First "Carnival"

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Believe it or not, this is the first "carnival" I've ever participated in: The first edition of 30s and 40s Personal Finances:...
1 comment:
Saturday, February 03, 2007

January Report

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Income and Expenditure Expenditure was $US2,515 - 76% of take home pay ($3,299). Expenditure is up this month because of paying for flights ...
Friday, February 02, 2007

Floridian Frugality?

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Posts by Cliff and Nirav about frugality and buying luxury on the cheap got me inspired to write something about "frugality" mys...
7 comments:
Thursday, February 01, 2007

Looks Like January was a Great Month

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In order to keep on track for my 2007 goal of reaching a net worth of $470,000 I needed to reach $374,000 this month. It looks like I am nor...
5 comments:

Paying for Grad School

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A good article about whether to pay for a graduate degree. My usual advice is if you aren't going to do a degree in a lucrative and/or ...
7 comments:
Wednesday, January 31, 2007

A More Sophisticated Approach to Portfolio Construction

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I don't think this article is as novel as the author and the blogger are making out. All it really says is build a balanced portfolio o...
2 comments:
Tuesday, January 30, 2007

Merger Mania

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Two of my stocks are now in merger talks: Powertel - a small Aussie telecom firm - and Symbion Health - an Aussie healthcare firm (what el...
2 comments:
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mOOm
I'm an economist and an active investor and currently live in Australia. I'm a global investor though I focus on investments in the Anglophone world and particularly in Australia. This blog tracks investment performance and discusses personal finance, investing, and trading from an economic perspective. In the picture, Moomin is looking for treasure.
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