Moomin Valley

This is my equity curve from simulated trading of the Australian share price index futures since the beginning of the year. It's looking...

Digital Look is a great source for research on UK stocks. Far better than Yahoo's offering . I haven't invested in the UK yet, but ...

As you'll see from Net Worth IQ , our net worth has been falling in the last few months, despite a small bounce this month in US Dollar ...

My mother just told me that our share of the proceeds from the sale of a property in Eastern Germany that our family jointly inherited with ...

In my post about the Man fund I'm thinking of investing in, I briefly mentioned Australia's foreign investment fund (FIF) rules. I ...

This guy is funny, he also has a video in English . Israel is an important location for high tech startups.

This would be wave 3 of 5 in my Elliott Wave count . It arrived a couple of days earlier than I expected. I sold NNDS, BWLD, and RICK (NNDS ...

This is a hedge fund investment I am considering. The kind of thing that is not available to individual investors in the US but is available...

Seems that the Symbion (SYB.AX) takeover story finally comes to an end today. Primary Healthcare (PRY.AX) announced that Monday their intere...

Currently our portfolio is allocated like this: I've explained these different categories previously . Basically "beta" contai...

Obviously this interpretation is somewhat subjective but it's not based on looking at this chart alone. If this is right we should see s...

As promised , I computed realised trading gains for the last two years: I could take this back further - the data is coming out of the sprea...

Allco Equity Partners (AEP.AX) stock price has tumbled to yesterday's $A2.23 (The IPO price was $A6.00!). The most obvious reason for th...

My W-2 arrived today all the way from the US (together with statements from Ameritrade and HSBC). So soon I can do my US taxes. My records s...

All figures are in US Dollars (USD) unless otherwise stated. This month again saw falls in net worth due to negative investment performance,...

A new downtrend has started in the stockmarket that will test the low established in the week of 21st January. It is likely that at this com...

Results for January are mixed but not bad. Any way I want to measure things I beat the market massively. The MSCI All Country Gross Index wa...

Too late, but hopefully it was the correct move. Market still seems to be rallying at this point. I should still have a positive trading mon...

One of my recent investments, NDS, released great quarterly results . With a record of rapidly growing earnings and free cash flow close to ...

Today's moves: 01/28/2008 15:02:21 Sold 100 XLF @ 27.7801 01/28/2008 15:03:16 Sold 100 IBKR @ 33.18 01/28/2008 15:06:33 Sold Shor...

Rob Hanna presents lots of interesting studies on his blog Quantifiable Edges . His latest analysis has highly bullish implications. His CB...

I found a link to this tax rebate calculator on Boston Gal's blog. It calculates how much of a rebate you should get under the U.S. st...

Talks between Primary Health Care (PRY.AX) and Healthscope (HSP.AX) are likely to start soon on what to do about Symbion (SYB.AX). I follow...

Though my US (NDX and SPX) models switched to short at Friday's close, the Australian and Japanese models are still long with no possibi...

Ten year low in bullishness . As you'll see these low levels of bullishness tend to be at market bottoms not tops. The contrarian approa...

After the recent fall in price of AAPL, which I suffered from (but only with a 25 share position - my initial position in any single industr...

According to the NBER the 1990 U.S. recession lasted from July 1990 to March 1991 . This is what the U.S. stockmarket did during this period...

Not only does a large part of the stimulus package go to groups who are unlikely to spend it , but by the time they send out the checks any ...

I should explain that what I've been trying to do the last several days is position myself in some longer term investments while trying ...

We've bounced another $4k off the low point and are now only down $16k for the month. I've now made a profit of about $US750 in trad...

Next Wednesday's FOMC meeting is one day beyond the forecast horizon of my model. At this stage the model is saying to be long till the ...

Is today's purchase . I used up the spare cash in my Roth IRA. I had been trying to trade that cash but the amount is small and it's...

Things don't look as bad today as yesterday . At this point I've shifted 10% of the portfolio into stocks as well as a little into ...

My stop order on AAPL didn't work. I then tried to sell and nothing happened. This was with IB. This is too dangerous. I doubt I try tha...

Was thinking about SHLD but decided against it. Short-term (at least) mistake. Thought about the bounce spread trade - long XLY and XLF and...

An interesting idea - one could do this with sector SPDR's .

Our net worth is down around $US39k (AUD 36k) month to date. The portfolio has lost 9.7% in USD terms or 7.8% in AUD terms. On the other han...

Trading SPI (Australian futures) and the Nikkei futures under simulation today. Again, I make money trading the Aussie index but can't s...

Did two trades. Both lost. I think I was overenthusiastic to put the trades on despite not very strong signals. Luckily I used stops properl...

A week ago I put up a "Trading Puzzle" on the blog, asking what simple strategies resulted in the blue and green equity curves. T...

The source of this table is this week's edition of Barron's, which I subscribe to. US stocks have not been a good investment so far ...

I bought some shares in Leucadia National, which has long been on my watchlist. Essentially it is a listed private equity firm. They should ...

My last two weeks of simulated trading have gone very well. I'm trading in a disciplined and profitable fashion. Here are the results of...

Doing a small long AAPL trade. Price should rise into options expiry in theory after being beaten down - traders redeeming ITM put options p...

I bought 40 shares of Bekaert - a Belgian firm that mainly focuses on steel wire products (including tyre wires) as well as some high tech ...

Yup, another new investment. ING Private Equity Access . I heard about this one from Enough Wealth . He sold 20,000 shares and still holds 8...

PeopleSupport and NDS . PeopleSupport is a takeover play. There is an offer for $17 on the table and it could be raised... maybe. The compa...

So far no-one has commented on the trading puzzle . The strategies are very simple . At the end of the week I will reveal all, whether I ha...

You hear a lot about $30k plus weddings. Our wedding will be small and simple. Having few guests obviously reduces costs. That's not on ...

The red in the chart is the NASDAQ 100 index. The blue and green are two simple trading strategies. The blue strategy has a beta of 0.84 to ...

I can't handle overnight trading. At least not any time soon. It makes me way to anxious. Wanting to stay up all night watching the US m...

I woke up this morning to find I had a short position in the NASDAQ futures I didn't know about! Unfortunately, the market was up. I clo...

I jumped the gun and went long the Nikkei and Australian Index before their models formally signalled to do so. I guess I was overenthusiast...

The table shows our asset allocation at the account and security level at the end of 2007 (before my recent flurry of trades). The split by ...

The NASDAQ didn't disappoint . So I sold my remaining BZH put, bought 100 NCT and 1000 SPI (Australian Index) call warrants. This is my ...

Just bought my first Nikkei Futures contract - a mini contract that is worth $13,000 or so. This is a model based trade, which I'll hold...

I've been papertrading the Australian Stock Index Futures and I think I am beginning to get the hang of it. This is daytrading. The cont...

I sold half the SBUX position to take some profits and got stopped out of the QQQQ position. Before I went to bed I moved my stop up from $4...

Cramer's revisionism . Cool video pastiche.

The slow stochastics crossed over on NDX so the model is long at the close. My models have been doing very well recently. I now have four: ...

Here are last year's number for comparison. Compared to last year we spent more than twice as much (even though we were only spending a...