Moomin Valley

Personal Finance, Investing, and Economics

Monday, March 31, 2008

Would You Invest in this Fund?

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1 comment:

Madame X: U.S. Large-Cap Funds

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Here we have one index fund (FUSEX) and four actively managed funds: FDGRX (Fidelity Growth Company) appears to be an excellent fund. It has...
Friday, March 28, 2008

Madame X: U.S. Mid-Cap Funds

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Hopefully this series isn't too much like water-torture :) I just don't feel like looking up more than 3 or 4 funds at a time and an...
4 comments:
Thursday, March 27, 2008

Trading Boils Down to Three Things

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1. Choosing high probability entry points to trades (and executing them well). 2. Getting out of losing trades fast. 3. Hanging on to winnin...
2 comments:

Roundup

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I took more profits (in XLF and in HCBK which was downgraded) and opened small short positions in GLD and SPY. I'm expecting a lot more ...
Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Babcock and Brown Combat Shorting

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I noticed yesterday that Babcock and Brown had set up a new prime broking arrangement with Deutsche Bank . I didn't look into the detail...

Smoothing the Ride Through Trading - Different Approaches

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Roger Nusbaum often talks about "smoothing the ride" - trying to get stock like returns (or better) in the long run with a little...

Madame X: U.S. Small-Cap Funds

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This project is becoming bigger than I expected :) I want to keep things down to writing about 3 or 4 funds a day and so I'm going to ha...
2 comments:
Tuesday, March 25, 2008

Madame X: International Stock Funds

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On to Madame X's international stock funds and a hopefully interesting lesson in passive vs. active management: (something seems to be s...

China Trade

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I bought some CHN - the China Fund - and CNY - a new RMB ETF. The latter should appreciate against the USD in the long-term as the Yuan is ...
Monday, March 24, 2008

Madame-X: Bond Funds

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There are two bond funds in the portfolio : CGFIX and FTHRX . Neither is particularly good, nor particularly bad. Both have been near the m...

Wealth Much More Evenly Distributed in Australia

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Wealth appears to be much more evenly distributed in Australia than the US. The lowest 10% of households have a median net worth of $A175k,...
Sunday, March 23, 2008

Madame-X: Individual Stocks

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These form a very small part of the portfolio but maybe it's useful as an example to show what I look at when first thinking about a sto...
2 comments:
Friday, March 21, 2008

Madame-X: Asset Allocation

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I've done a rough computation of Madame-X's allocation by asset class. This is by no means precise, but my errors probably cancel ea...
2 comments:

Madame-X's Portfolio

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Madame-X has been discussing the performance of her portfolio . The data she has shows that her 401k and Roth IRA are both worth less than t...
1 comment:
Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Are Professors Better Market-Timers?

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I showed in a previous post that many of the investors in the TFS Market Neutral Fund were poor market timers. I just received the CREF An...
2 comments:

Evidence on Market Timing

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Following up on my recent post on market timing, I thought I'd give you some evidence of the real-world market-timing abilities of mutu...

Time and Class

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Social class is a tricky concept to get a handle on. For one thing, class definitions vary quite a bit around the world. The "middle cl...
2 comments:

Fat Fingers

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There are lots of ways to lose :) Right after the FOMC announcement I did a nice winning trade. Then my next trade was clearly a loser I was...
2 comments:
Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Target Portfolio

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This is the target portfolio I hope to get to by next month or so by continuing to switch funds and invest: I classify our portfolio three w...
Sunday, March 16, 2008

S&P 500 Elliott Wave Count

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Here is a longer term Elliott Wave Count for the S&P 500 Index. Elliott Wave, in my opinion is rather subjective and interpretative - it...
Thursday, March 13, 2008

More Buying

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Adding another 4% to stocks. Old stalwarts: NNDS, BWLD, RICK and SHLD a new one. Have mixed thoughts on that latter one but fits my LTR, LUK...
2 comments:
Wednesday, March 12, 2008

New Investments

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Made new investments in PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy ( PBW ) and 3SBio ( SSRX ). The former is an ETF seemed the easiest way of buyin...
Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Rob Hanna's CBI Indicator Hits 15

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Rob Hanna's CBI indicator is now above 15 a level only seen previously in September 01, July 02, and August 98.... It means a bottom at...

Challenger Infrastructure Fund Receives Takeover Offer

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One of my investments, Challenger Infrastructure Fund has received a takeover offer . The offer is from Arkmile Investments who already own ...
Monday, March 10, 2008

Thoughts on Market Timing

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I often read in the PF blogosphere or personal finance websites: "It's impossible to time the market, so you shouldn't try...
3 comments:

Recession is Local Too

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USA Today has a nice map of economic conditions across the US - I've see a similar map somewhere else recently. Some parts of the US ec...
Sunday, March 09, 2008

Adding to TFS Market Neutral Fund

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I'm adding $5000 from the inheritance money I received to my investment in the TFS Market Neutral Fund . It's performed very nicely...

Does Warren Buffett have Investment Skill?

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The outstanding performance of Berkshire Hathaway's stock price and book value over time is well known as is more anecdotally the perfor...
1 comment:
Saturday, March 08, 2008

Ameritrade Fees

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I just noticed that Ameritrade upped my fees from $7 per trade to $9.99 at the start of this month without any notification. I queried wheth...
2 comments:
Friday, March 07, 2008

Made the Switch

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I switched 1/3 of my Australian superannuation account from the CFS Conservative Option to the CFS Geared Share Option and 1/2 of a non-marg...

Should I Start to Buy?

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I was surprised by today's fall in US markets - the forecast of an uptrend over the next few days remains intact for the NDX but the SPX...
Thursday, March 06, 2008

New York State Tax

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I've now done the computations for my NYS tax. I'm filing as a part year resident as I moved to Australia on 13th September. However...

Portfolio Performance

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In my ongoing evaluation of my Mom's portfolio I've calculated some annualised rate of return * performance figures: I don't hav...

Trading Update

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Each morning I sketch out a game plan for what I think the Australian Share Price Index will do in the first part of the day. I am getting g...
3 comments:

U.S. Federal Taxes

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I did all the calculations for my US federal taxes yesterday for 2007. I owe them $556 which is below the $1000 threshold where a penalty ap...
Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Changing Portfolio Mix

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The chart shows the composition of my Mom's portfolio over the last 5 years. The main trend has been a reduction in the allocation to ca...

International Equity Managers: The Data

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This is a synopsis of the key data I received on the three potential international equity managers . In a "wrap account" of this t...
2 comments:

Trading Update for Tuesday

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With the NDX up today, we don't look like getting to oversold in this round and with Thursday still forecast as an up day and the Wedne...
Tuesday, March 04, 2008

New Investment for my Mom

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Occasionally , I've mentioned that I advise my Mom on investing. We've now completed our allocation of funds to the Aletheia separat...

SPI Trading: Day 2

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I planned to do live trading again today. My idea about what would happen at the open was correct - A pop up followed by a decline, but I mi...
Monday, March 03, 2008

February 2008 Report

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All figures are in US Dollars (USD) unless otherwise stated. Performance this month was more mixed than in recent months - net worth rose in...
1 comment:

Started Post-Training SPI Day-Trading

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My first trade today was successful. $A140 profit. Not a bad start. I was profitably stopped out of the trade. I noticed I was a bit more ag...
Sunday, March 02, 2008

Lots to Do!

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We're back from our "honeyweek" in Sydney (we stayed at this nice bed and breakfast place in Glebe) and there is lots to do. ...
Tuesday, February 19, 2008

Daytrading Update

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This is my equity curve from simulated trading of the Australian share price index futures since the beginning of the year. It's looking...
3 comments:
Monday, February 18, 2008

U.K. Stock Research - Listed Private Equity

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Digital Look is a great source for research on UK stocks. Far better than Yahoo's offering . I haven't invested in the UK yet, but ...

Why is Our Net Worth Falling?

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As you'll see from Net Worth IQ , our net worth has been falling in the last few months, despite a small bounce this month in US Dollar ...
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mOOm
I'm an economist and an active investor and currently live in Australia. I'm a global investor though I focus on investments in the Anglophone world and particularly in Australia. This blog tracks investment performance and discusses personal finance, investing, and trading from an economic perspective. In the picture, Moomin is looking for treasure.
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