Moomin Valley

Personal Finance, Investing, and Economics

Sunday, August 25, 2019

Understanding Wills and Estate Planning

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As we don't yet have a will, I have been reading this book , which is a simple guide to this topic with plenty of examples. I now see...
2 comments:
Sunday, August 18, 2019

Individual Investment Performance, July 2019

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In July, generally alternative investments and small cap stocks did well and gold and our trading did poorly. Some things were just bo...
Monday, August 12, 2019

Trading Back on Track

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After suffering some losses , it looks like I've got our trading back on track for the moment: We were stopped out of Bitcoin this ...
Sunday, August 04, 2019

Designing a Portfolio for Baby Moomin

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I decided that the best provider of investment bond s is Generation Life . This is mainly because they seem to be scandal free, not about to...
1 comment:
Friday, August 02, 2019

July 2019 Report

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July was another pos itive month for long term investments, but we lost money trading. In July the Australian Dollar fell from USD 0. 7012...
Wednesday, July 31, 2019

Australian Investment/Insurance Bonds

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Investment/insurance bonds are an Australian investment vehicle, which is a bit like a superannuation fund but actually is formally a typ...
Tuesday, July 30, 2019

Stopping Daytrading

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Well, that didn't last long. I think it is definitely possible to make money using this daytrading method, but it is definitely not for ...
Monday, July 29, 2019

Long Only Bitcoin Trading

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I continue to struggle psychologically with shorting Bitcoin futures and as a result make mistakes and lose money. So, I investigated how ta...
Saturday, July 27, 2019

Trading Account Equity Curves

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Thought I'd just post the "equity curves" from our three trading accounts. Moominpapa: There is trading in the first half...

Trading the SPI

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The graph compares idealized trading of the ASX200 futures contract, known as the "SPI" (share price index) vs. buy and hold. T...
Tuesday, July 23, 2019

Worst Loss on Bitcoin

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Just got stopped out for a 7.06% loss on Bitcoin trading. That is the worst loss that the Bitcoin model has suffered so far. So, most losses...
Monday, July 22, 2019

New Macro Trade

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I've started another long-term macro trade by buying a treasury note futures spread . The spread is short one ten year treasury note ...
Thursday, July 18, 2019

Systematic Day Trading

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I figured out a way to adapt the turtle trading method to systematic day-trading. I plan to apply it to markets which tend to move strong...
Monday, July 15, 2019

Trading Bitcoin Futures over the Weekend or Not

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Because recently Bitcoin rallied strongly over weekends, I decided to close any Bitcoin futures short position at the end of trading on Frid...
Sunday, July 14, 2019

Individual Investment Returns for June 2019

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I finally got around to doing this analysis for June: It's not as straightforward as my other reporting and probably takes 20 minut...
Friday, July 12, 2019

Distribution of Income and Wealth in Australia in 2017-18

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The latest survey results have been released by ABS. To be in the top 1% in Australia you need to have a household net worth of about AUD...
Wednesday, July 03, 2019

June 2019 Report

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Because the financial year has just ended in Australia, this report has more estimated figures than normal. June was another pos itive mont...
Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Adding Individual Stock Trading

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My last post looked at my trading profit and loss from futures, ETFs, CFDs etc. But it didn't include individual stocks, which I traded ...
1 comment:
Sunday, June 23, 2019

Trading History

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I was wondering how my trading performance looked over the long haul and put together this chart which is cumulative profits from trading...
Tuesday, June 11, 2019

Only 40 Active Accounts Trading Bitcoin Futures?

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According to this article , there are only 40 active accounts trading CME bitcoin futures. I can't read the whole article without paying...
Thursday, May 30, 2019

Cancelled my Income Protection Insurance

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Unisuper are raising the cost of income protection insurance by 43%. I can't see why I am paying for this insurance any more, and, so, I...
3 comments:
Friday, May 24, 2019

May 2019 Report

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In May the Australian Dollar fell from USD 0.7047 to USD 0.6930. The MSCI World Index fell 5.85% and the S&P 500 6.35%. The ASX 200 ros...
Tuesday, May 21, 2019

Asset Allocation at "Peak Bonds"

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At this point we have probably finished expanding our allocation to bonds and from here the share will fall again. So, I thought it would ...
Sunday, May 19, 2019

Weekend Trading

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Bitcoin is again rising over this weekend, so far. I set a stop buy order in my CFD trading account, which allows me to trade Bitcoin 24/7 f...
Friday, May 17, 2019

Monday's Move in Bitcoin was a Huge Outlier

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The weekend move in Bitcoin extended into Monday's trading and Bitcoin ended up rising 25%. You can see how much of an outlier that was...
Sunday, May 12, 2019

Bitcoin Going Completely Nuts Over the Weekend

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I've noticed that in recent days Bitcoin has gone up starting at around 6pm US Eastern time when all stock markets in the World apart fr...
Wednesday, May 08, 2019

More Asymmetry

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A couple of days ago I posted about the asymmetry of market returns capture by the target portfolio. The portfolio captured less than 100%...
Tuesday, May 07, 2019

Varying Position Size Still Doesn't Make Sense

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Last year, I posted that increasing trading position size when volatility is lower didn't make sense for my trading system. When the vo...
Sunday, May 05, 2019

Target Portfolio vs. the MSCI World Index

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The graph shows monthly returns for the target portfolio vs. the MSCI World Index in Australian Dollar terms. The linear fit shows a beta ...

Margin Requirements for Bitcoin Futures Trading

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I just discovered that while going long a Bitcoin futures contract requires margin of about USD 16843.75 per contract, going s...
1 comment:
Friday, May 03, 2019

April 2019 Report

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In April the Australian Dollar fell from USD 0.7096 to USD 0.7047. The MSCI World Index rose 3.18% and the S&P 500 3.72%. The ASX 200 r...
1 comment:
Friday, April 26, 2019

Bitcoin Trading Update

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This morning Bitcoin plummeted several hundred dollars at the open of the US overnight session on Globex. It triggered both my sell sto...
Wednesday, April 24, 2019

Updated Post on Labor's Tax Increase Proposals

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I had forgotten about one of Labor's proposals to increase tax. Limiting tax free pensions to $75k per year. I've now added it to th...
Tuesday, April 23, 2019

Update on Trading Research

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I came to the conclusion that none of the trading tools I developed are reliable. They can match market behavior for a while and make money,...

Save 4% on Transferring Money to Australia

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My brother is planning sending me my share of the proceeds of selling my mother's apartment. If we sent the money in Falafeland curre...
Sunday, April 21, 2019

Doing More Trading Research

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Seems like April is the time for me to think about trading. I developed a very simple mechanistic trend-following model for trading Bitcoin ...
Friday, April 05, 2019

March 2019 Report

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In March the Australian Dollar fell from USD 0.7106 to USD 0.7096. The MSCI World Index rose 1.32% and the S&P 500 1.94%. The ASX 200 r...
1 comment:
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mOOm
I'm an economist and an active investor and currently live in Australia. I'm a global investor though I focus on investments in the Anglophone world and particularly in Australia. This blog tracks investment performance and discusses personal finance, investing, and trading from an economic perspective. In the picture, Moomin is looking for treasure.
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