Wednesday, October 23, 2024

Transition to Retirement

I am thinking of setting up a transition to retirement pension (TTR pension). This allows you to receive regular payouts from your superannuation once you reach the age of 60 even though you are still working. I will be 60 years old in about 6 weeks time! There are lots of strategies this can be used. In my case, I am thinking to continue working full time at least for the next year and to recontribute all the payout to superannuation as non-concessional contributions (post-tax contributions). This has two advantages: 

  1. It will convert money that was contributed as concessional contributions (at the 15% or 30% contributions tax rate) and earned as investment returns into non-concessional contributions. If my children inherit some of my superannuation when they are past the age of 18 they then won't need to pay tax on this part of the payout. The "death tax" is only on concessional contributions and fund earnings.
  2. Once I hit the transfer balance cap, of currently $1.9 million, I can contribute the money to my wife's superannuation instead. I am currently at $1.7 million and she is at $800k. So, there is still a lot of unused capacity there. 

When you retire or reach age 65 you can transfer money up to the transfer balance cap into a zero taxed pension account. Money over the limit stays in an accumulation account where earnings are taxed at 15% (10% for long term CGT). The TTR pension does not affect the calculation of the transfer balance cap unless you are still holding it at age 65 when it becomes a regular tax free pension account.

My Unisuper account is close to 100% concessional contributions and earnings. So, I would start with that and transfer $600k to a pension account and pay out 10% of it each year, which is the maximum withdrawal rate. You have to leave some money in the accumulation account to receive new contributions... But actually 60% of my SuperGuardian account is also concessional contributions and earnings, and so it would make sense to transfer $400k from that into a TTR pension account too. So I would be withdrawing $100k per year and recontributing. The reason I wouldn't withdraw the maximum annual non-concessional contribution level of $110k is because my employer contributes more than the allowed cap on concessional contributions each year and the excess becomes non-concessional contributions.*

The downside to recontributing to my wife's superannuation is that I could make those contributions from non-superannuation money resulting in getting even more money into super. After all, even if you have more than $1.9 million in super, the amount above the limit is concessionally taxed compared to non-super investments.** But right now I am not making those contributions. Instead, I have been building up a pile of cash offsetting our mortgage. This is partly to reduce our interest bill but also part of a plan to buy a more expensive house in the future. So, as long as I was planning on saving to buy a house, I wouldn't make non-concessional contributions to her account.

Anyway, I sent an email to Unisuper yesterday expressing my interest in TTR pensions and asking what the next step is. 

Originally, I planned on switching to half time work when I reached 60 years old, but I seem to have fallen victim to the one more year syndrome. Seems silly to sacrifice $120k in pre-tax salary and superannuation just to have a bit easier time in the teaching half of my year. Also, my university is enacting a major cost-cutting exercise that likely will see more than 500 jobs cut in total. Academic jobs will not be cut till next year. They are not putting in a voluntary redundancy scheme. But I figure that if I am made redundant then I will get a bigger payout if I am still working full time. I could be wrong about that.

* That's why my Unisuper account isn't 100% concessional contributions and earnings.

** The government plans to tax superannuation in excess of a $3 million threshold at higher rates that include unrealised capital gains. But I think the senate will not pass that legislation and we are still a long way from the $3 million level.

Saturday, October 05, 2024

Scammed Again?

About a year ago, I got scammed for more than $2,000. I managed to get the money back from the merchant and only had foreign exchange conversion losses. At the time, Commonwealth Bank said they couldn't do anything because I had approved the transaction. This month, I found a round $50 transaction on our credit card from Seenenergy/Post Melbourne Australia. Neither I nor Moominmama recognized this transaction so I raised a dispute online. Almost instantly Commonwealth Bank refunded the $50! I wonder what is the difference between these two cases. I suppose that I did not actually click anything to authorize this transaction? Maybe it is because this is a credit card rather than debit? Or both? Our credit cards have been cancelled and we need to wait for new cards.

Friday, October 04, 2024

September 2024 Report

This was an average month in terms of investing activity. Spending fell steeply again to AUD 7.4k but it is going to be up strongly in October.

In September, the Australian Dollar rose from USD 0.6772 to USD 0.6913, so US Dollar returns are higher than Australian Dollar returns this month. Stock indices and other benchmarks performed as follows (total returns including dividends):

US Dollar Indices

MSCI World Index (gross): 2.36%

S&P 500: 2.14%

HFRI Hedge Fund Index: 1.19% (forecast)

Australian Dollar Indices

ASX 200: 3.30%

Target Portfolio: 1.07% (forecast)

Australian 60/40 benchmark: 1.46%

We gained 1.65% in Australian Dollar terms or 3.76% in US Dollar terms. So we only underperformed the ASX200.

The SMSF returned 1.11% compared to Unisuper at 1.12% and also PSS(AP) at 1.12%. The fund went over AUD 1.4 million for the first time.

Here is a report on the performance of investments by asset class:

The asset class returns are in currency neutral terms as the rate of return on gross assets and so the total differs from the Australian Dollar returns on net assets mentioned above. RoW stocks (mostly Defi Technologies) lost money, why all other asset classes gained. Australian small cap had the highest rate of return, while futures including bitcoin made the greatest contribution to overall return.

Things that worked well this month:

  • Bitcoin gained AUD 28k and was followed by gold (24k), Tribeca Global Resources (TGF.AX, 17k), WAM Alternatives (WMA.AX, 15k), and Regal Investments (RF1.AX, 12k).

What really didn't work:

  • Pershing Square Holdings (PSH.L) lost AUD 16k and Defi Technologies (DEFTF) lost AUD 14k.

Here are the investment performance statistics for the last five years:

The top three lines give our performance in USD and AUD terms, while the last three lines give results for three indices. Our performance fell back this month compared to the ASX200 but, as we have much lower volatility, we have a higher Sharpe ratio of 0.83 vs. 0.57. But as we optimize for Australian Dollar performance, our USD statistics are much worse. We do beat the HFRI hedge fund index in terms of return, but at the expense of much higher volatility. We have a positive alpha relative to the ASX200 of 2.74% with a beta of only 0.46.

We moved towards our target allocation this month. We are most underweight cash and most overweight rest of the world stocks. Our actual allocation currently looks like this:

About 70% of our portfolio is in what are often considered to be alternative assets: real estate, art, hedge funds, private equity, gold, and futures. A lot of these are listed investments or investments with daily, monthly, or quarterly liquidity, so our portfolio is not as illiquid as you might think.

We receive employer superannuation contributions every two weeks. We contribute USD 10k each quarter to the Unpopular Ventures Rolling Fund and less frequently there will be capital calls from Aura Venture Fund II. I made the following additional moves this month:

  • In addition to the quarterly contribution to the Unpopular Ventures Rolling Fund, I made an additional investment of USD 5k in Kyte and a new investment of USD 3.75k in another start-up.
  • I sold 2,000 shares of PMGOLD, the Perth Mint gold ETF, and added to the cash pile in our offset account.
  • I sold our remaining holding in the Longwave Small Australian Companies Fund.
  • I did a trade in Clime Investment Management (CIW.AX) after Geoffrey Wilson recommended it.