Hopefully, This Isn't True

August 2025 Report

In August, the Australian Dollar rose from USD 0.6433 to USD 0.6540 meaning that USD investment returns are better than AUD investment returns. It was our second highest spending (in nominal terms, January 2015 was the highest) month ever at AUD 27k. School fees and airfares booking coincided. Stock markets rose again (total returns including dividends):

US Dollar Indices

MSCI World Index (gross): 2.51%

S&P 500: 2.03%

HFRI Hedge Fund Index: 0.54% (forecast)

Australian Dollar Benchmarks

ASX 200: 3.30%

Target Portfolio: 0.86% (forecast - depends on HFRI result)

Australian 60/40 benchmark: 1.37%

We gained 1.07% in Australian Dollar terms or 2.76% in US Dollar terms. So we beat all the US Dollar benchmarks but under-performed relative to two of the Australian Dollar benchmarks.

Our SMSF returned 1.31% beating Unisuper (0.75%) but not PSS(AP) (1.35%).

Here is a report on the performance of investments by asset class:

The asset class returns are in currency neutral terms as the rate of return on gross assets and do not include investment expenses such as margin interest, and so the total differs from the Australian Dollar returns on net assets mentioned above. All asset classes apart from private equity had positive returns. US stocks had the greatest return and hedge funds made the largest contribution to total return.

Things that worked well this month:

• The following investments gained more than AUD 10k: Gold (16k), Tribeca Global Resources (16k), Berkshire Hathaway (10k).

What really didn't work:

• Bitcoin lost AUD 14k and 3i 10k.

Here are the investment performance statistics for the last five years:

The top three lines give our performance in USD and AUD terms, while the last three lines give the same statistics for four benchmarks. The middle block gives our performance relative to the indices. 

Our alpha relative to the ASX200 is 2.9% with a beta of only 0.48. We still have much lower volatility, resulting in a information ratio of 1.42 vs. 1.12. We capture much less of the downside moves than the upside moves in the market. We also have very good performance relative to the Vanguard 60/40 portfolio with the same volatility but 4% p.a. more return. We captured 100% of the upside of this portfolio but only 60% of the downside. But as we optimize for Australian Dollar performance, our USD statistics are much worse. We do beat the HFRI hedge fund index in terms of return, but at the expense of far higher volatility. Our USD volatility is at least less than that of the MSCI index, but our return is more than four percentage points lower.

We moved a little bit away our target allocation. Our actual allocation currently looks like this:

About 65% of our portfolio is in what are often considered to be alternative assets: real estate, art, hedge funds, private equity, gold, and futures. A lot of these are listed investments or investments with daily liquidity, so our portfolio is not as illiquid as you might think.

We receive employer superannuation contributions every two weeks. We make monthly concessional contributions to Moominmama's superannuation to reach the annual cap on contributions. We contribute USD 10k each quarter to the Unpopular Ventures Rolling Fund and less frequently there will be capital calls from Aura Venture Fund II. I am now receiving TTR pension payments from both Unisuper and our SMSF and contributing more than the total of these back to my superannuation accounts. I made the following additional moves this month:

• I bought 1,100 shares of the IBTC.AX bitcoin ETF. I also did a small unprofitable bitcoin futures trade.
• I bought 500 shares of the QETH.AX ethereum ETF.
• I sold 10k shares of WAM Capital (WAM.AX).
• I bought 2k shares of Regal Investment Fund (RF1.AX).
• I bought 85k shares of Platinum Capital (PMC.AX).
• I sold 73k shares of Cadence Opportunities (CDO.AX).

FIRE?

The university has reopened the voluntary redundancy scheme after saying that there will be no further forced redundancies. It looks like they have increased the payout to 3 weeks pay per year or service instead of two. My simulation shows that it would be a breakeven until the end of 2028 under the assumption I work full time in 2026 and half time in 2027 and 2028. In addition, I now know that I will get a UK state pension. Using the 4% rule, that means I need to save AUD 1/2 million less than I would otherwise need to. 

We don't need to reapply if we applied previously. My previous application was approved. But I said no. So, maybe I can say yes now. Technically, I would be retiring early as I am younger than 67, even though I can get a tax free pension from my superannuation.

2024-25 Taxes

Here is a summary of my 2024-25 Australian tax return (all numbers in Australian dollars):

You can find previous years here. Our expected tax refunds will be lower than last year. In my case, I used up all the carried over capital losses and so have a net capital gain for the first time in a long time. Deductions were down due to reducing margin interest paid. As a result, net income rose 10%. Still below the magic $250k level needed for wholesale investor status based on income. My tax due rose by 14%. As a result my expected tax refund is down to just $610.

Here is a summary of Moominmama's tax return:

She too had a big increase in net capital gain and other investment income. Gross income rose 34% as a result. Deductions only rose by 2% and so taxable income almost doubled! Franking (tax already paid by Australian companies that is stapled to dividends) and foreign tax credits still more than offset the more than tripled gross tax bill and so tax due is still negative but only a quarter of last year's number. So, the expected tax refund is down steeply, but still nearly $8k.

I am still collecting tax statements for our self-managed super fund. It will be a long time till its tax return is submitted by our administrator, SuperGuardian. 

June 2025 Report

I waited for all investment returns for the financial year to be in before posting this report, though, in the end, it didn't make much difference. In June, the Australian Dollar rose from USD 0.6431 to USD 0.6559 meaning that USD investment returns are better than AUD investment returns. Stock markets rose (total returns including dividends):

US Dollar Indices

MSCI World Index (gross): 4.53%

S&P 500: 5.09%

HFRI Hedge Fund Index: 2.36%

Australian Dollar Benchmarks

ASX 200: 1.47%

Target Portfolio: 1.95%

Australian 60/40 benchmark: 1.79%

We gained 0.68% in Australian Dollar terms or gained 2.68% in US Dollar terms. So the only benchmark we beat was the HFRI. We under-performed the target portfolio because our returns for private equity and US stocks were a lot below the benchmark returns.

Here is a report on the performance of investments by asset class:

The asset class returns are in currency neutral terms as the rate of return on gross assets and do not include investment expenses such as margin interest, and so the total differs from the Australian Dollar returns on net assets mentioned above. All asset classes but gold and Australian small cap had positive returns with the strongest rate of return and the largest contribution from Australian large cap.

Things that worked well this month:

• More than AUD 10k gain: Unisuper (19k), Regal Investment Fund (RF1.AX, 12k), Australian Dollar Futures (10k). Also at all time high profits:  PSS(AP) (9k for the month), CREF Social Choice (7k), Acadian (6k), WCM Global (WCMQ.AX, 2k), CFS Imputation (2k).

What really didn't work:

• Gold (-14k). At all time low profits: WAM Capital (WAM.AX, -1k).

Here are the investment performance statistics for the last five years:

The top three lines give our performance in USD and AUD terms, while the last three lines give the same statistics for four benchmarks. This month, we have added the Vanguard 60/40 ETF portfolio to the set of benchmarks. The middle block gives our performance relative to the indices. 

These are now measured from the end of June 2020. Our alpha relative to the ASX200 fell to 3.0% with a beta of only 0.48. We still have much lower volatility, resulting in a information ratio of 1.41 vs. 1.09. We capture much less of the downside moves than the upside moves in the market. We also have very good performance relative to the Vanguard 60/40 portfolio with the same volatility but almost 4% p.a. more return. But as we optimize for Australian Dollar performance, our USD statistics are much worse. We do beat the HFRI hedge fund index in terms of return, but at the expense of much higher volatility. Our USD volatility is at least less than that of the MSCI index, but our return is more than four percentage points lower.

We moved towards our target allocation as I again tweaked the allocation. Our actual allocation currently looks like this:

About 65% of our portfolio is in what are often considered to be alternative assets: real estate, art, hedge funds, private equity, gold, and futures. A lot of these are listed investments or investments with daily liquidity, so our portfolio is not as illiquid as you might think.

We receive employer superannuation contributions every two weeks. We make an annual concessional contribution to Moominmama's superannuation to reach the annual cap on contributions. We contribute USD 10k each quarter to the Unpopular Ventures Rolling Fund and less frequently there will be capital calls from Aura Venture Fund II. I am now receiving TTR pension payments from both Unisuper and our SMSF and contributing more than the total of these back to my superannuation accounts. (around AUD 4k net contribution per month). I made the following additional moves this month:

• Closed investments in Generation Global and Aspect Diversified Futures and switched the money to the Acadian Global Long Short Fund.
• Invested USD 2,500 in a syndicated start up at Unpopular Ventures. In my reporting, all these small investments are reported together with the UV Rolling Fund. Similarly, individual paintings I invested in at Masterworks are all reported together, as are individual property investments at Domacom.
• Sold 1,000 shares of James Hardie (JHX.AX) closing this trade for about an AUD 600 loss.
• Bought 500 shares of the gold ETF (PMGOLD.AX). 
• Net sold 3,250 shares of WCM Global Quality (WCMQ.AX). 
• Bought AUD 45k of the First Sentier Imputation Fund. 

All Time Contributions of Asset Classes

I was wondering how much each asset class has contributed to our total profits to date. It was easy to compute this number using the spreadsheet I use to compute monthly gains on individual investments and asset classes. The numbers are only estimates. For multi-asset class funds, I assume that each asset class in the fund has the same rate of return. So I multiply each asset class share by the total profit for the fund to get the contributions of that fund to total returns for that asset class. This is also how I compute asset class returns each month. Here are the results:

Private equity has contributed the most followed by Australian large cap and gold. Contributions of bonds and real assets are surprisingly large. They may be an artifact of how I compute the contributions from multi-asset funds like our employers' superannuation funds. Also, Commonwealth Bank is all attributed to bonds, when about half my return was from my investment in the Colonial IPO rather than my later investments in CBA hybrids. Finally, 17% of Regal Investment Fund (RF1.AX) is currently in private credit but most of my returns were made before they even invested in private credit! So, this is biased upwards.

Coincidentally, I am changing the name of the Bonds asset class to Credit. Private credit isn't bonds. It isn't even "fixed income". The category covers both private credit and bonds.

UK Pension Update

Back in April, I got a letter from the UK pension authority laying out the voluntary contributions I could make to get a UK pension. They sent this via snail mail and there were only a few days left to the deadline to make the contributions. I transferred money to their Barclays account from Commonwealth Bank. I thought this would be more reliable than OFX. But turns out that OFX may have been better because CBA only allowed me to put the relevant reference code in the "message" field rather than a standard "reference field". 

I soon got another letter asking for 2023-24 contributions, which I made. I waited a couple of months, as the website said it could take up to 8 weeks for my National Insurance record to be adjusted. It was still the same when I checked. I phoned the help number at HMRC and after waiting for ages and starting to talk with someone with a heavy foreign accent on a bad line, got cut off. I tried to send a letter with copies of my transfer receipts by express mail. But the Australian Post Office computer system couldn't handle non-geographic UK postcodes! So, I resorted to sending the letter by regular airmail in a hand addressed envelope. 

In the process, I managed to drop my wallet in the shopping mall. I got it back the next day from the mall concierge desk with all the cash intact! I think the last time I lost my wallet was almost exactly 30 years before in Albertville in France on an epic bike trip from London to Nice. I didn't get it back that time, but a nice policeman found a hotel that was prepared to host me until I received a spare credit card I got my parents to send me from London. 

A month later, I just checked the HMRC website and see this:

Previously, I think it forecast around £400 per month. So, it looks like they updated my record! It's all pretty confusing because the website still says most contribution years are incomplete but doesn't say how much I did contribute! It also says I am short about £17 for 2023-24, despite me sending the amount they requested. I will send it with next year's contribution.

This forecast includes the effect of contributions in the years up to 2031. In my accounts, I value this pension as the value of contributions I made - around AUD 9k. But using the 4% rule it is equivalent to needing AUD 538k less money in the 4% portfolio to get a given expected income stream! The net present value is a lot less than that.

 

Kyte

 

I invested in this startup via Anglelist. Turns out that I invested more in this one (USD 15k) than any other, Now they are shutting down. That is something you should expect often with startups. I already knew they were closing, but now it's public I can let you know too.

Ether

Opened a very small position (0.24%) in Ether (technically that is the correct name for the cryptocurrency via the QETH.AX ETF traded on the ASX. Oscar Carboni put out a $6,500 target. It is currently at USD 4,666.

 

Back into Platinum Capital!

Just over a year ago, I sold out of Platinum Capital (PMC.AX). It had been under-performing and the company announced a plan to merge it with an active ETF (PIXX.AX) also managed by Platinum. The price was close enough to net asset value (NAV) as a result and I got out. In the meantime, L1 took over Platinum (the fund manager) and also bought a stake in Platinum Capital. Then yesterday Platinum Capital announced that the merger had been abandoned and L1 plans to take over management of PMC using the strategy that they have applied in their existing listed investment company (LSF.AX) but using a global investment universe instead of an Australian focused one. The market had been expecting the merger to be cancelled, as the share price of PMC was trading around 12% below NAV. So now is a good opportunity to reinvest in PMC because of the discount and hopefully better future performance under L1. They have been running a seed version of the new strategy, which has gained 27% since the beginning of the year. 

I plan to sell down part of my holding in Cadence Opportunities (CDO,AX) to fund this new investment.  This stock is very illiquid so it is likely to be a slow process.

My long history with Platinum Capital and related Platinum funds. Green is investment valuation, red is net invested capital and orange is profit:

 

July 2025 Report

In June, the Australian Dollar fell from USD 0.6559 to USD 0.6433 meaning that USD investment returns are worse than AUD investment returns. Stock markets rose (total returns including dividends):

US Dollar Indices

MSCI World Index (gross): 1.38%

S&P 500: 2.24%

HFRI Hedge Fund Index: 0.27% (forecast)

Australian Dollar Benchmarks

ASX 200: 2.36%

Target Portfolio: 1.82% (forecast - depends on HFRI result)

Australian 60/40 benchmark: 1.90%

We gained 3.38% in Australian Dollar terms or 1.38% in US Dollar terms. So the only benchmark we didn't beat was the S&P 500. It seemed that some stocks that were beaten down at the end of the last Australian financial year rebounded strongly. A good example is Regal Partners (RPL.AX), which gained 35%. Maybe a classic case of selling for tax losses. In absolute Australian Dollar terms it was our fourth best month ever gaining AUD 203k. November 2024 was the best ever month with a gain of AUD 335k followed by January 2025 (280k) and March 2024 (229k).

Our SMSF returned 4.59% beating Unisuper (1.67%) and PSS(AP) (2.08%).  This was a welcome change after five months of under-performance.

Here is a report on the performance of investments by asset class:

The asset class returns are in currency neutral terms as the rate of return on gross assets and do not include investment expenses such as margin interest, and so the total differs from the Australian Dollar returns on net assets mentioned above. All asset classes had positive returns. Australian small cap had the greatest return and hedge funds made the largest contribution to total return.

Things that worked well this month:

• Ten investments gained more than AUD 10k: Pershing Square Holdings (PSH.L 40k), Regal Partners Fund (RPL.AX, 22k), Regal Investment Fund (RF1.AX, 22k), Pengana Private Equity (PE1.AX, 15k), Bitcoin (15k), Unisuper (12k), Gold (12k), WAM Capital (WAM.AX, 12k), PSS(AP) (11k), and WAM Alternatives (11k).

What really didn't work:

• Australian Dollar Futures lost AUD 12k. (-14k).

Here are the investment performance statistics for the last five years:

The top three lines give our performance in USD and AUD terms, while the last three lines give the same statistics for four benchmarks. This month, we have added the Vanguard 60/40 ETF portfolio to the set of benchmarks. The middle block gives our performance relative to the indices. 

Our alpha relative to the ASX200 is 3.2% with a beta of only 0.49. We still have much lower volatility, resulting in a information ratio of 1.46 vs. 1.12. We capture much less of the downside moves than the upside moves in the market. We also have very good performance relative to the Vanguard 60/40 portfolio with the same volatility but 4% p.a. more return. We captured 100% of the upside of this portfolio but only 60% of the downside. But as we optimize for Australian Dollar performance, our USD statistics are much worse. We do beat the HFRI hedge fund index in terms of return, but at the expense of far higher volatility. Our USD volatility is at least less than that of the MSCI index, but our return is more than four percentage points lower.

We moved a little bit away our target allocation. Our actual allocation currently looks like this:

About 65% of our portfolio is in what are often considered to be alternative assets: real estate, art, hedge funds, private equity, gold, and futures. A lot of these are listed investments or investments with daily liquidity, so our portfolio is not as illiquid as you might think.

We receive employer superannuation contributions every two weeks. We make monthly concessional contributions to Moominmama's superannuation to reach the annual cap on contributions. We contribute USD 10k each quarter to the Unpopular Ventures Rolling Fund and less frequently there will be capital calls from Aura Venture Fund II. I am now receiving TTR pension payments from both Unisuper and our SMSF and contributing more than the total of these back to my superannuation accounts. I made the following additional moves this month:

• Made a USD 7,500 investment in African start-up Yassir. In my reporting, all these small investments are reported together with the UV Rolling Fund. Similarly, individual paintings I invested in at Masterworks are all reported together and different property investments at Assetora (formerly Domacom) are wrapped together.
• Bought 400 more shares of the Monochrome bitcoin ETF (IBTC.AX). 
• Bought 2,000 more shares of WCM Global Quality (WCMQ.AX). 

Spending 2024-25

Each year, I report on income and spending for the Australian financial year, which runs from 1 July to 30 June. This makes it easy to do a break down of gross income including taxes that's comparable to many you'll see online, though all our numbers are in Australian Dollars. Here is last year's report. At the top level we can break down total gross income (as reported in our tax returns plus employer superannuation contributions that are paid on top of nominal salary) into the following categories of spending (click on the image to read more easily):

The gross income for this year (bottom line) is just an estimate. It is based on the gross income we expect to report in our tax returns (before investment expenses etc.) plus employer superannuation contributions. Gross income is forecast to rise by 9% this year after falling for three years. Of course, adjusted for inflation it is still below the 2020-21 peak.

Tax includes local property tax as well as income tax (projected) and tax on superannuation contributions. Income tax is expected to rise by 19%! This is because we have run out of capital losses to offset capital gains. Investing costs include margin interest. Mortgage interest is included in spending, while mortgage principal payments are considered as saving. Spending also includes the insurance premia paid through our superannuation. Current saving is then what is left over. This is much bigger than saving out of salaries because gross income includes investment returns reported in our tax returns. The latter number depends on capital gains reported for tax purposes, so is fairly arbitrary. Spending fell for the first time since I started this spreadsheet, by 4%. Mortgage principal saving doubled, because we are keeping more money in our offset account, reducing mortgage interest payments. Graphically, the breakdown above looks like this:

We break down spending into quite detailed categories. Some of these are then aggregated up into broader categories as shown here:

Here, I include mortgage interest in housing spending. In the accounts I report at the end of the calendar year I include it in investment costs. The idea of including interest in housing costs here is to make this spending report more similar to others on the web. 

Our biggest spending category, if we don't count tax, is now childcare and education, which continues to trend upwards. As mentioned above, the income and tax numbers are all estimates. Commentary on each category follows:

Employer superannuation contributions: These include employer contributions (we don't do any salary sacrifice contributions) but not concessional contributions we paid to the SMSF this year.

Superannuation contributions tax: The 15% tax on concessional superannuation contributions. This includes tax on our concessional contributions to the SMSF.

Franking credits: Income reported on our tax returns includes franking credits (tax paid by companies we invest in). We need to deduct this money which we don't receive as cash but is included in gross income. Foreign tax paid is the same story.

Income tax is one category that has fallen since 2017-18! But it has been offset by increasing franking credits, which inflate top line income, and superannuation contributions tax.

Life and disability insurance: I have been trying to bring this under control and the amount paid has also fallen since 2017-18 a result.

Health: Includes health insurance and direct spending. Spending peaked with the birth of our second child.

Housing: Includes mortgage interest, maintenance, and body corporate fees (condo association). It is down this year because we parked more cash in our offset account reducing the mortgage interest we need to pay.

Transport: About 60% is spending on our car and 40% is my spending on Uber, e-scooters, buses etc.

Utilities: This includes water, gas, electricity, telephone, internet, and online storage etc.

Subscriptions: Includes all payments for online electronic services that aren't basic infrastructure. It's has levelled out after increasing sharply during the pandemic.

Supermarkets: Includes convenience stores, liquor stores etc as well as supermarkets. It has been constant for the last four years.

Restaurants: This was low in 2017-18 because we spent a lot of cash at restaurants and during the pandemic for obvious reasons. It has now levelled out. In fact we spent quite a bit on restaurants while travelling in China and Thailand that either came out of Chinese accounts that aren't included here or in cash.

Cash spending: This is up strongly this year due to spending in cash in Thailand.

Department stores: All other stores selling goods that aren't supermarkets. No real trend here.

Mail order: This has come down over the last four years. We now get mail order direct from China, which is paid for from China and doesn't enter these accounts.

Childcare and education: We are paying for private school for both children now, plus music classes, swimming classes...

Travel: This includes flights, hotels etc. It was very high in 2017-18 when we went to Europe and Japan. In 2020-21 it was down to zero due to the pandemic and having a small child. It again rose this year as we travelled to Queensland in July 2024 and China and Thailand in 2024-25.

Charity: Not much trend.

Other: This is mostly other services. It includes everything from haircuts to professional photography.

This year's reduced spending was mainly driven by reduced interest and education costs.