September 2025 Report

In September, the Australian Dollar rose from USD 0.6540 to USD 0.6613 meaning that USD investment returns are better than AUD investment returns. International stock markets rose yet again, though the Australian market was down (total returns including dividends):

US Dollar Indices

MSCI World Index (gross): 3.66%

S&P 500: 3.65%

HFRI Hedge Fund Index: 0.83% (forecast)

Australian Dollar Benchmarks

ASX 200: -0.52%

Target Portfolio: 2.70% (forecast - depends on HFRI result)

Australian 60/40 benchmark: 0.83%

We gained 3.69% in Australian Dollar terms or 4.84% in US Dollar terms. So we beat all benchmarks!

Our SMSF returned 3.42% beating both Unisuper (0.60%) and PSS(AP) (0.81%).

Here is a report on the performance of investments by asset class:

The asset class returns are in currency neutral terms as the rate of return on gross assets and do not include investment expenses such as margin interest, and so the total differs from the Australian Dollar returns on net assets mentioned above. All asset classes gained. Gold had the greatest return, but hedge funds made the largest contribution to totsal returns.

Things that worked well this month:

• The following investments gained more than AUD 10k: Gold (AUD 86k), Pershing Square Holdings (PSH.L, 35k), Tribeca Global Resources (TGF.AX, 31k), Regal Investment Fund (RF1.AX, 28k), WAM Capital (WAM.AX, 16k), Platinum Capital (PMC.AX, 11k).

What really didn't work:

• No investment lost more than AUD 10k.

Here are the investment performance statistics for the last five years:

The top three lines give our performance in USD and AUD terms, while the last three lines give the same statistics for four benchmarks. The middle block gives our performance relative to the indices. 

Our alpha relative to the ASX200 is 3.0% with a beta of only 0.49. We have much lower volatility, resulting in a information ratio of 1.49 vs. 1.19. We capture much less of the downside moves than the upside moves in the market. We also have very good performance relative to the Vanguard 60/40 portfolio with the same volatility but 4% p.a. more return. We captured 100% of the upside of this portfolio but only 60% of the downside. But as we optimize for Australian Dollar performance, our USD statistics are much worse. We do beat the HFRI hedge fund index in terms of return, but at the expense of far higher volatility. Our USD volatility is at least less than that of the MSCI index, but our return is more than four percentage points lower.

We moved a little bit away our target allocation. Our actual allocation currently looks like this:

About 65% of our portfolio is in what are often considered to be alternative assets: real estate, art, hedge funds, private equity, gold, and futures. A lot of these are listed investments or investments with daily liquidity, so our portfolio is not as illiquid as you might think.

We receive employer superannuation contributions every two weeks. We make monthly concessional contributions to Moominmama's superannuation to reach the annual cap on contributions. We contribute USD 10k each quarter to the Unpopular Ventures Rolling Fund and less frequently there will be capital calls from Aura Venture Fund II. I am now receiving TTR pension payments from both Unisuper and our SMSF and contributing more than the total of these back to my superannuation accounts. I made the following additional moves this month:

• I bought 15k WAM Strategic Value (WAR.AX).
• I bought 15k shares of Defi technologies (DEFT.AX), a stock I previously held until April. 
• I bought 4,555 shares of Cadence Opportunities (CDO.AX). 
• I did a trade in gold, buying 500 PMGOLD shares and then selling 750.
• bought 375 Metrics Income Opportunities shares (MOT.AX).