Moominmama is a Chinese Mum who stereotypically thinks you should sacrifice anything for your children's education. Her friend from uni days also lives in our city and sends her children to the most expensive private school. So, we have been sending both children to a private school that is in walking distance of our home. I think that public schools are fine, at least where we live. Fees at the private school have increased by 8% in each of the last two years. Then a couple of weeks ago they announced 2026 fees. They are up for the school years relevant to us by almost 23%. The school is suggesting that fees will increase by 9-12% for 2027 and after that by smaller numbers, but it would likely be 7% per year I think. The school community is shocked and outraged by this. The school has taken some financial missteps, but we can't see how more than say 10% is justified. We have gotten a lot of education on school finances in the last fortnight, both on a huge parent WhatsApp group and from the school's own presentation in reaction to the outrage. On Monday there will be a live parent-organized town hall.
So, I have modelled the effect of these on our finances and in theory we could cope with it, though by Little My's final year the school would be as expensive in real terms as some of the more expensive schools in Melbourne and Sydney now. Trinity Grammar at AUD 44k matches what this school would cost in his final year. Our school has 2,200 students. It grew so big by offering a private education at a reasonable price. Lots of parents are talking about leaving. If students numbers fell but costs remain high they could go into a death spiral, in my opinion, where they have to raise fees more and choke off more and more demand.
So, we are starting to think about public schools seriously again. Moomintroll will be in Year 5 next year. High School starts in Year 7 here. We are locked into next year pretty much, and it doesn't make sense, I think, to move him to a public primary school for just one year. So, maybe he would move to our local public high school in Year 7. That school has reasonable NAPLAN test scores. 47% of students are from the top socio-economic quartile compared to 80% at the current school. This will depend on what we think the future trajectory of school fees will be how are finances are holding up.*
In another negative shock, Moominmama's employer announced another restructuring. They will make 5% of research staff redundant and maybe a much higher share of her division. So far, she has managed to survive all the previous restructurings, but maybe her luck will finally run out. Again, we could handle this, but all of this is adding stress.
* The public high school is a bit awkward to get to. You need to change buses in our local "town centre". I don't think Moominmama should have to drive him there and back every day. After the first year, I think it would be reasonable for him to cycle there and back if the weather is OK. It is actually only 2.5km away. There are bike paths, but also big highways to cross, though there are traffic lights on the crossings. But I did a thought experiment where he took Uber back and forth every day. That would cost about AUD 5k per year, which is a sixth maybe of the private school fees!













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